Daily News Analysis

BRIDGING GLOBAL WORKFORCE GAPS

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The issue of bridging global workforce gaps is gaining attention due to several intersecting trends affecting labor markets worldwide.

 Why it’s in the news:

  1. India's Workforce Potential: The India Employment Outlook 2030 by ORF points out that India will contribute around 24.3% of the global incremental workforce over the next decade. This highlights India’s growing role in addressing labor shortages and fulfilling workforce demands globally.
  2. Shrinking Working-Age Populations: Many high-income countries are facing demographic challenges, including declining birth rates. By 2050, these nations are projected to see a reduction of over 92 million in their working-age populations. This demographic shift creates a significant labor gap that needs to be filled to sustain economic growth and stability.
  3. Ageing Populations: The ageing populations in high-income countries are growing rapidly. The number of elderly individuals (65 and older) is expected to increase by over 100 million. This places a strain on pension systems and healthcare services, making it essential to have a robust working-age population to support these systems financially and socially.
  4. Globalized Job Market: The rise of digital technologies and remote work has created a more interconnected global job market. Teams and talent can now collaborate across borders more easily, which helps to fill gaps in the workforce and access diverse skills from different regions.
  5. Shifting International Trade: Geopolitical developments, trade restrictions, and the trend towards friendshoring (relying on allies for critical supply chains) are altering international trade dynamics. These changes impact job markets, wages, and the movement of labor across borders.

India’s Demographic Advantage

  1. Large Working Population:
    • India’s population of over 1.4 billion includes around 65% in the working age bracket (15–64 years), and more than 27% are between 15 and 24 years old. This substantial working-age population creates a significant labor force, which can be harnessed to address global labor shortages and demands.
  2. Skill Development and Global Demand:
    • The ‘Global Skill Gap Study’ by NSDC indicates a rising demand for skilled Indian workers in various sectors globally. Countries like the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and several Western nations are seeking Indian talent, suggesting opportunities for Indian workers to fill skill gaps abroad.
  3. Youthful Population Advantage:
    • With a median age of 28.4 years, India benefits from a relatively young workforce. This demographic not only provides a competitive edge in labor markets but also drives consumer demand, boosting economic growth.
  4. Historical Successes:
    • India has successfully leveraged its demographic advantage in sectors like IT and BPO services. The export of these services showcases how India can capitalize on its large, skilled labor pool.

Impacts of Labor Mobility

  1. Enhancement of Global Productivity:
    • Labor mobility helps match skilled workers with employers who need them, thereby enhancing productivity and efficiency on a global scale.
  2. Poverty Alleviation:
    • Migrant workers moving to wealthier countries often see their incomes increase significantly (by 6 to 15 times), which can substantially reduce poverty levels in their home countries.
  3. Social Welfare and Remittances:
    • The positive effects of labor mobility extend to social welfare through remittances. In 2022, India received over $111 billion in remittances, which supports improvements in healthcare, education, and overall welfare in the country.
  4. Long-term Impacts on India’s Labor Market:
    • While labor mobility offers numerous benefits, it also poses challenges. The potential for a brain drain and the impact on sectors like healthcare and construction could affect India’s long-term economic and social development. Skilled workers leaving the country might slow down progress in key areas and impact domestic industries.

Challenges

Labour mobility faces several key challenges, each of which can have significant impacts on both the migrants themselves and the economies of the countries involved. Here’s a detailed look at each of these challenges:

1. Covid-19 Impact

  • Job Losses and Economic Strain: The pandemic resulted in widespread job losses, particularly affecting low-skilled migrant workers who are often employed in sectors heavily hit by lockdowns and reduced economic activity, such as hospitality and construction. Many faced immediate unemployment and financial instability.
  • Debt and Financial Hardship: Migrants, especially those without access to safety nets or support systems, were often forced into debt to cover living expenses during periods of unemployment or reduced income. This exacerbated their financial vulnerability.
  • Healthcare and Safety Issues: Migrant workers frequently faced challenges accessing healthcare and protective measures against COVID-19, worsening their risk of infection and impacting their overall well-being.

2. Anti-Immigration Policies and Sentiments

  • Restrictive Policies: In many high-income countries, stringent immigration policies limit the ability of potential migrants to enter the country. These policies can include strict visa requirements, low quotas for work permits, and increased scrutiny, making it difficult for individuals to relocate for work.
  • Anti-Immigrant Sentiment: Rising anti-immigrant sentiments can lead to the implementation of more restrictive policies and create a hostile environment for immigrants. This atmosphere can discourage potential migrants from moving or lead to increased challenges for those who do.

3. Complex Immigration Processes

  • Bureaucratic Hurdles: Many countries have intricate and lengthy immigration procedures, including numerous forms, approvals, and waiting periods. This complexity can deter potential migrants who might be discouraged by the time and effort required.
  • Lack of Integration Programs: Even when migrants are able to navigate the immigration process, they often face difficulties integrating into their new societies. Inadequate support for language learning, cultural acclimatization, and job placement can hinder their ability to contribute effectively to the local economy.

4. Increasing Automation and Technological Advancements

  • Changing Nature of Work: Automation and AI are transforming job markets by increasing efficiency and reducing the demand for certain types of manual or repetitive work. This shift can affect the types of jobs available to migrants and may require them to adapt to new roles or acquire new skills.
  • Job Displacement: As technology advances, some low-skilled jobs that are typically filled by migrants might become obsolete, leading to potential job displacement and requiring affected workers to seek retraining or new employment opportunities.
  • Skills Mismatch: The rapid pace of technological change can lead to a mismatch between the skills that migrants have and the skills that are in demand, complicating their ability to find suitable employment in a changing job market.

Addressing These Challenges

  • Policy Reforms: Governments could consider reforms to make immigration processes more transparent and accessible while balancing security and economic needs.
  • Support Systems: Implementing comprehensive integration programs can help migrants adapt more quickly and effectively, including language classes, job placement services, and cultural orientation.
  • Adaptation to Technological Changes: Providing education and training opportunities to help migrants acquire new skills and adapt to technological advancements is crucial.
  • Economic Support: Offering financial support or safety nets during crises like pandemics can help mitigate the impact on vulnerable migrant workers.

India Step

India’s demographic advantage—its large, young population—presents a significant opportunity for economic growth and development. The country has initiated several measures to leverage this advantage effectively:

1. Skill Development Initiatives:

  • Skill India Mission: This overarching mission aims to train over 400 million people in different skills by 2022. It encompasses various programs and schemes to enhance employability and productivity among the youth.
  • Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana (PMKVY): Launched in 2015, this scheme provides financial support to candidates for skill training and certification. It focuses on providing industry-relevant skills and certifications to the youth to meet market demands.
  • National Skill Development Corporation (NSDC): As an implementation agency under the Skill India Mission, NSDC plays a crucial role in fostering private sector participation and developing the skill ecosystem.

2. Integration of Vocational Education:

  • National Education Policy (NEP) 2020: This policy introduces vocational education at the school level, aiming to impart practical skills from an early age. The NEP emphasizes the integration of vocational training into the school curriculum, promoting early skill development and bridging the gap between education and industry requirements.

3. International Migration and Skill Training Agreements:

  • Bilateral Agreements: India has signed various agreements with countries like Italy, France, Germany, and others. These agreements focus on:
    • Skill Development: Collaborating on skill training programs and sharing best practices.
    • Migration: Facilitating the movement of skilled workers to meet labor shortages in host countries.
    • Certification: Recognizing and validating Indian qualifications and skills abroad.
  • Skill Development Partnerships: These international collaborations often include joint initiatives to provide training, certification, and placement services to ensure that Indian professionals meet international standards and are competitive in the global job market.

4. Government and Private Sector Collaboration:

  • Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs): The government collaborates with private sector players to enhance the reach and impact of skill development programs. These partnerships help in setting up training centers, developing curricula, and creating job placement opportunities.

5. Digital Platforms for Skill Training:

  • Digital Initiatives: Platforms like the National Career Service (NCS) and e-Skill India provide online training and career counseling, making skill development resources accessible to a wider audience, including those in remote areas.

6. Focus on Emerging Sectors:

  • Sector-Specific Training: The government also emphasizes training in emerging sectors such as Information Technology, Artificial Intelligence, Renewable Energy, and Healthcare to align with global industry trends and future job markets.

Way Ahead

1. Understanding Global Labour Demand

  • Market Research: Conduct detailed analyses of labor demands in advanced economies, focusing on sectors with skill shortages.
  • Strategic Alignment: Develop policies and programs that align India’s workforce capabilities with these global needs, including targeted training and educational programs.

2. Skill Development

  • Investment in Education: Increase funding and support for educational and vocational institutions to improve curriculum relevance and quality.
  • Industry Partnerships: Collaborate with industries to ensure training programs are aligned with current and future job market requirements.
  • Certification and Standards: Implement certification systems that meet international standards to enhance employability abroad.

3. International Agreements

  • Bilateral and Multilateral Agreements: Negotiate and enhance agreements with other countries to facilitate labor mobility.
  • Streamlined Immigration Processes: Work on simplifying visa and work permit processes to reduce bureaucratic hurdles.
  • Support Services: Develop comprehensive support systems for migrants, including orientation programs and legal assistance.

4. Public Awareness

  • Awareness Campaigns: Launch campaigns to educate the public about the benefits of labor mobility and the positive impact of migration on both host and home countries.
  • Success Stories: Highlight success stories of Indian migrants who have made significant contributions abroad to counter negative stereotypes.

5. Reducing Costs

  • Transaction Cost Reduction: Implement policies to lower the costs associated with labor mobility, such as visa fees and relocation expenses.
  • Reintegration Programs: Develop programs to support the smooth reintegration of returning workers, including job placement services and skills validation.

6. Women Empowerment

  • Encouragement and Support: Create initiatives to encourage women’s participation in the workforce, including mentorship programs and flexible working arrangements.
  • Skill Development for Women: Provide targeted training and education programs to increase women’s skills and employability.
  • Address Barriers: Identify and address social and structural barriers that limit women’s access to the labor market.

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