Daily News Analysis

Quad Critical Minerals Initiative

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The Quad Critical Minerals Initiative launched by the United States, India, Australia, and Japan marks a significant shift in global geopolitics and economic strategy, especially with regard to critical mineral supply chains. The backdrop of this initiative stems from the growing concern over China's dominant position in the production and processing of rare earth elements (REEs) and other vital minerals that power modern technologies.

Key Highlights:

1. Objective of the Quad Critical Minerals Initiative:

  • Resilient Supply Chains: The initiative aims to diversify and secure supply chains for critical minerals needed in industries like electric vehicles (EVs), semiconductors, and defense technologies.

  • Reduce Dependency on China: Quad nations want to reduce their reliance on China, which currently dominates the global market for critical mineral processing.

  • Enhance Recycling & Innovation: The initiative includes efforts to boost private sector investment and promote the recycling of critical minerals, along with technology development for mineral extraction and processing.

2. China’s Dominance in Critical Minerals:

  • China's Strategic Position: China controls a large percentage of global processing, particularly in rare earth elements like neodymium and praseodymium (used in EV motors, military applications, etc.).

  • Risk of Supply Disruptions: The dependency on China has led to vulnerabilities such as economic coercion, price manipulation, and supply disruptions, especially in the context of rising geopolitical tensions.

3. India’s Struggles with Mineral Supply:

  • Electric Vehicle Setbacks: India's burgeoning electric vehicle industry has faced serious hurdles due to Chinese export restrictions on rare earth minerals, such as the vital neodymium magnets for EV motors.

  • Bureaucratic Hurdles: China's end-user licenses and bureaucratic requirements for approving Indian carmaker applications have further complicated the situation, with India struggling to compete with foreign car manufacturers who have more access to China's supply chain.

4. Quad’s Geopolitical Response:

  • Cooperative Approach: The Quad nations are not only focusing on securing resources but also ensuring that the supply chain remains diversified. This includes international collaboration, research and development (R&D), and investment in sustainable mining practices.

  • Public-Private Collaboration: One of the cornerstones of this initiative is enhancing cooperation between government bodies and private sectors to bring innovation to mining, processing, and recycling efforts.

5. G7 Action Plan & Strategic Partnership:

  • G7 Critical Minerals Action Plan: The Quad initiative is rooted in the commitments made by the G7 in Canada to diversify supply chains and collaborate with emerging markets for mineral extraction and processing.

  • RISE Initiative & World Bank Support: The Resilient and Inclusive Supply Chain Enhancement (RISE) initiative aims to develop secure and sustainable mineral supply chains in partnership with the World Bank. This aligns with Quad's long-term goals.

6. India's National Critical Mineral Mission:

  • Domestic Push for Mineral Security: India is ramping up its efforts to strengthen mineral exploration, research and development, and recycling through its National Critical Mineral Mission, which is backed by a massive ₹16,300 crore investment.

  • Global Partnerships: India has joined the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP) to enhance its global outreach and collaborate with nations like Australia, South Korea, Finland, and Sweden to improve access to critical minerals.

7. The TRUST Agreement Between India and the U.S.:

  • Strategic Technology Partnership: The Transforming Relationship Utilizing Strategic Technology (TRUST) initiative signed during PM Modi’s visit to Washington in 2025 aims to focus on key minerals like lithium and rare earth elements.

  • Co-Develop Extraction Technologies: This partnership will focus on joint technologies for extraction and processing, ensuring that both nations are better equipped to manage critical mineral supplies independently of China.

Implications:

  • Geopolitical Ramifications: This move could reshape the global balance of power in terms of resource access and technological competitiveness, especially as countries like China are cornered into a position where their monopoly on critical minerals could be threatened.

  • Economic Growth for Emerging Markets: The Quad's initiative and related partnerships will likely lead to more investment in mineral-rich developing countries, bringing economic prosperity and infrastructure growth.

  • Environmental Impact: The push for increasing the supply of critical minerals comes with its own environmental risks. Sustainable mining practices, recycling, and tech innovation will be necessary to balance supply needs with ecological preservation.

The Quad Critical Minerals Initiative is an ambitious, multifaceted strategy to ensure that the global supply chains for critical minerals are not only secure but also sustainable and diversified. For countries like India, this initiative promises to bolster energy security, industrial growth, and strategic partnerships in the ever-competitive global market for high-tech minerals.

This effort builds on existing frameworks like the G7 Critical Minerals Action Plan and India’s National Critical Mineral Mission, while also fostering new technological advancements that will help reduce the global over-reliance on China, making the global supply of critical minerals more resilient and diverse.

What Are Critical Minerals?

Critical minerals are resources that are essential for a country’s economic development and national security. They are needed to manufacture high-tech goods, enable the transition to clean energy, and strengthen defense capabilities. These minerals are often in limited supply or concentrated in specific regions, creating risks of supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions.

  • Examples: Lithium, cobalt, rare earth elements, nickel, graphite, and gallium are all crucial for the renewable energy transition, EVs, semiconductors, and defense technologies.

  • India's List: India has identified 30 critical minerals, including lithium, cobalt, rare earth elements, and titanium, through a comprehensive process based on resource availability, import dependence, and their role in advancing future technologies and clean energy solutions.

Why Are Critical Minerals Important for India’s Economic Transformation?

  1. Catalyzing Green Energy and EV Transition:

    • Renewable Energy: Minerals like lithium and cobalt are essential for lithium-ion batteries, solar panels, and wind turbines.

    • Electric Vehicles: India's transition to EVs hinges on domestic access to critical minerals, which would help lower battery production costs and make EVs more affordable. The discovery of lithium reserves in Jammu & Kashmir and the Mines and Minerals Amendment Act show India's intention to reduce its reliance on imports.

    • Target: India’s goal to become a net-zero emitter by 2070 means significantly increasing the use of clean energy technologies. The demand for minerals like lithium is projected to increase by 500% by 2050 to meet global Net Zero commitments.

  2. Strategic Autonomy and Reducing Import Dependency:

    • India currently sources 60% of its rare earth minerals from China, making its industries, including defense, vulnerable to supply chain disruptions. Expanding domestic mining operations and refining capabilities will help reduce this dependency and boost self-sufficiency.

  3. Electric Vehicle Ecosystem:

    • India aims to achieve 30% EV penetration by 2030, which would require significant amounts of critical minerals for battery manufacturing. Domestic production would help in reducing costs and improving accessibility.

    • India’s collaboration with Australia through the Critical Minerals Investment Partnership (2022) and efforts like KABIL (Khanij Bidesh India Ltd.) will be vital in securing global mineral supply chains for EVs.

  4. Supporting Semiconductor and High-Tech Manufacturing:

    • Critical minerals are vital for semiconductor production. Rare minerals like gallium and germanium are needed for high-tech devices, making them essential for India’s $10 billion semiconductor initiative. Developing domestic mineral processing would reduce import dependency and position India as a global electronics manufacturing hub.

  5. Job Creation and Economic Growth:

    • Developing critical mineral industries will create a new industrial ecosystem in India, fostering job creation, GDP growth, and reducing regional disparities. Government efforts to attract foreign investments and develop infrastructure in resource-rich areas can help ensure the viability of this sector.

  6. Global Trade Position and Export Growth:

    • With China currently processing 90% of global rare earths, India has an opportunity to enter the market with value-added processed minerals. It can leverage its own reserves and global partnerships to capture global markets and reduce its trade deficit.

Challenges India Faces in Securing Critical Minerals

  1. Overdependence on Imports:

    • India remains heavily reliant on imports, especially from China, for many critical minerals. This dependency exposes India to geopolitical risks and trade barriers, such as China's export restrictions on minerals like germanium.

  2. Limited Domestic Exploration:

    • Exploration gaps and outdated methods hinder India’s ability to capitalize on its reserves. Only 48% of mineral blocks auctioned between 2020-2023 were sold, and many of these lacked the required exploration data, making them unattractive to investors.

  3. Underdeveloped Processing and Refining Capacity:

    • Although India has some critical mineral reserves, it lacks the infrastructure and technology to process these minerals. For example, it has lithium reserves but no domestic refining capacity. This forces India to rely on external players for value-added processing, just as China does for rare earths.

  4. Geopolitical Competition:

    • Resource-rich nations are increasingly entering exclusive agreements for mineral supply with countries like China and the U.S. India’s efforts to secure minerals from countries like Argentina and Australia through KABIL have been slow compared to the aggressive strategies employed by other nations.

  5. Environmental and Social Concerns:

    • Mining operations in ecologically sensitive areas like Jammu & Kashmir raise environmental and social concerns. Local communities may resist mineral extraction, especially in areas with vulnerable ecosystems.

  6. High Upfront Costs and Delayed Returns:

    • The high capital costs required for mining critical minerals, combined with long timelines for transitioning from exploration to production, deter private investment. The delayed returns from such projects can make the sector less attractive to potential investors.

  7. Weak Recycling and Circular Economy:

    • India’s recycling industry is underdeveloped, particularly for e-waste. With India generating millions of tonnes of e-waste annually, there is significant potential for recovering valuable minerals like cobalt and rare earth elements. Developing formal recycling systems can help reduce the need for virgin minerals and increase resource efficiency.

Measures India Can Adopt to Secure Its Critical Mineral Supply Chain

  1. Establish a Unified National Authority:

    • India needs a centralized body to oversee exploration, acquisition, processing, and recycling, ensuring streamlined decision-making and policy coordination across ministries. A Center of Excellence for Critical Minerals (CECM) could facilitate this.

  2. Develop Strategic Stockpiles:

    • India could build stockpiles of high-priority minerals like lithium, cobalt, and gallium to safeguard against global supply disruptions and price fluctuations.

  3. Fiscal Incentives for Exploration and Processing:

    • Providing upfront fiscal incentives (e.g., subsidies, tax rebates, or soft loans) for exploration and processing activities can de-risk investments and attract private players. This model has worked in other sectors, such as semiconductors under the PLI scheme.

  4. Public-Private Partnerships (PPP):

    • India should foster PPPs for mining and refining to leverage advanced technologies, investments, and expertise. Collaborating with global leaders like Australia’s Lynas Rare Earths or Tesla could boost India’s refining capabilities.

  5. Leverage Mineral Diplomacy:

    • India should expand bilateral agreements with resource-rich nations like Australia, Canada, and Chile, focusing on securing stable, diversified mineral supplies. India’s partnership with Australia in 2022 was a step in this direction.

  6. Promote Domestic Manufacturing:

    • India should incentivize domestic manufacturing of EV batteries, solar panels, and other products using critical minerals through dedicated PLI schemes for these sectors.

  7. Invest in Recycling and Circular Economy:

    • India should invest in advanced recycling technologies for e-waste and create formal recycling ecosystems. The introduction of take-back schemes for used electronics could significantly reduce reliance on new mineral supplies.

  8. R&D in Mining and Processing:

    • India must invest in R&D for advanced mining technologies to improve the efficiency of operations, such as AI-based exploration or in-situ leaching, and develop more sustainable processing methods.

     

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