Daily News Analysis

India-ASEAN Relations

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Context

  • Amid China’s assertiveness, US strategic shifts, and Indo-Pacific uncertainties, ASEAN's role has become pivotal.

  • For India, ASEAN is central to its Act East Policy and Indo-Pacific vision, emphasizing a free, open, inclusive, and resilient regional order (highlighted in 2018 Shangri-La Dialogue).

  • ASEAN comprises 10 Southeast Asian countries, focused on economic growth, stability, and cooperation.

  • India-ASEAN engagement evolved from Sectoral Dialogue Partner (1992) to Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (2022).

Opportunities for India in ASEAN

  1. Economic & Trade

    • ASEAN’s population: 650 million; GDP: USD 3.2 trillion.

    • India-ASEAN trade: USD 122.67 billion (2023–24), constituting 11% of India's global trade.

    • Singapore is India’s largest ASEAN trade and top FDI source (USD 14.94 billion).

    • Leveraging ASEAN-India FTA (AIFTA) and finalizing Trade in Goods Agreement (AITIGA) can boost trade and investment.

  2. Defence Cooperation

    • India emerging as a reliable defence partner (e.g., BrahMos missile sale to the Philippines).

    • Provides training and technical support to modernize ASEAN armed forces, promoting self-reliance.

  3. Strategic & Security Engagement

    • ASEAN acts as a strategic counterbalance amid regional tensions.

    • India participates in East Asia Summit, ASEAN Regional Forum, ASEAN Maritime Forum, and joint exercises (e.g., ASEAN-India Maritime Exercise, 2023).

    • Cooperation in anti-piracy, disaster management, and upholding rules-based order (aligned with India’s SAGAR doctrine).

  4. Connectivity & Infrastructure

    • India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway and Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit projects enhance regional integration and Northeast India’s development.

    • Digital initiatives (5G, cybersecurity, ASEAN Smart Cities Network) deepen technological linkages.

    • Provides a regional alternative to China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

  5. Tech & Energy Cooperation

    • Collaboration in IT, fintech, AI, start-ups (ASEAN-India Start-up Festival), and renewable energy (highlighted in 2022 Renewable Energy Conference).

    • Strengthens energy security and sustainability.

  6. Cultural & People-to-People Ties

    • Shared historical-cultural links promote soft power (Artists’ Camp, Music Festival, University Networks).

    • 2025 designated ASEAN-India Year of Tourism, fostering youth engagement and cultural exchange.

Challenges and Areas of Friction

  1. Trade Imbalance & RCEP Withdrawal

    • India’s trade deficit with ASEAN surged from USD 9.66 billion (2016–17) to USD 45.2 billion (2024–25).

    • Concerns over market access and tariff asymmetry have slowed trade agreement renegotiations.

    • India exited RCEP in 2019 to shield from Chinese imports via ASEAN.

  2. Delays in Connectivity Projects

    • Funding, security, and bureaucratic hurdles stall projects like IMT Highway and Kaladan, affecting regional credibility.

  3. Limited Defence Cooperation & Divergent Political Strategies

    • ASEAN’s economic dependence on China (ASEAN-China trade USD 702 billion) limits defence collaboration with India.

    • Mixed political stances within ASEAN on Indo-Pacific vision and Myanmar crisis create strategic friction.

  4. Digital Trade & Data Governance Challenges

    • Regulatory mismatches slow cooperation; ASEAN favors liberal digital trade, India insists on data sovereignty (Digital Personal Data Protection Act, 2023).

Strategic Recommendations for India

  1. Enhance Physical & Digital Connectivity

    • Accelerate IMT Highway and Kaladan projects, develop maritime and air corridors.

    • Foster interoperable digital platforms, mutual recognition agreements balancing data sovereignty and digital trade liberalization.

    • Expand bilateral digital initiatives like India-Singapore UPI into regional frameworks.

  2. Deepen Maritime Security & Blue Economy Cooperation

    • Enhance underwater domain awareness, logistics support, and address non-traditional maritime threats.

    • Joint initiatives on marine technology, offshore renewable energy, and sustainable fisheries to tackle illegal fishing and food security.

  3. Promote Sustainability, Resilience & Development Partnerships

    • Collaborate on climate change, renewable energy, disaster management, food security, and digital skilling.

    • Diversify supply chains in critical technologies and co-develop green energy corridors.

  4. Strengthen Institutional and People-Centric Engagement

    • Leverage platforms like EAS, ARF, ADMM-Plus for strategic dialogue.

    • Institutionalize Track-1.5 dialogues, scholarships, and cultural exchanges.

    • Utilize 2025 ASEAN-India Year of Tourism for enhanced people-to-people ties.

  5. Advance Space Collaboration: "Space for Sustainability"

    • Build on GSAT-9 success by launching a dedicated Regional Satellite for Sustainability for crop monitoring, marine pollution, and disaster alerts.

    • Position India as a trusted, low-cost space partner in Southeast Asia.

Conclusion

India-ASEAN relations underpin India’s Act East and Indo-Pacific vision, grounded in shared prosperity, strategic trust, and cultural bonds. By strengthening cooperation across connectivity, maritime security, digital innovation, and sustainability, India can help craft an inclusive, rules-based, and resilient regional architecture—balancing emerging geopolitical challenges and economic opportunities.

 

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