Daily News Analysis

Bay of Bengal

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India’s maritime ambitions in the Bay of Bengal are central to its geopolitical and economic strategies, but there are several challenges that need to be addressed to strengthen its leadership in the region. Despite India's progress in port infrastructure and regional trade, factors like geopolitical competition, maritime security threats, and environmental vulnerabilities continue to pose significant hurdles.

Bay of Bengal:

  • Location: The Bay of Bengal is bordered by India's eastern coastline and serves as the gateway to Southeast Asia. It is a crucial maritime route that connects the Indian Ocean to the Strait of Malacca, a critical chokepoint for global trade.

    Strategic Assets: The bay is home to India's Andaman and Nicobar Islands, which have important military infrastructure and serve as surveillance hubs.

    Natural Sphere of Influence: Historically, India has viewed the Bay of Bengal as its ‘natural sphere of influence’, shaping both its security doctrines and foreign policy.

Significance of Bay of Bengal for India

  • Trade & Connectivity: The bay links South Asia with Southeast Asia, enhancing global trade and economic integration with neighboring countries through port development and logistics infrastructure.

    Geopolitical Influence: India’s presence in the Bay of Bengal enhances its regional leadership, countering external influence and ensuring maritime stability.

    Energy & Resources: The region is rich in natural resources like oil, gas, and fisheries, which are critical to India’s economic growth and energy security.

    Security: India plays a pivotal role in maintaining maritime security in the Bay, addressing challenges like piracy, illegal fishing, and transnational crime.

    Environmental & Climate Impact: The region is highly vulnerable to climate change impacts, including rising sea levels and cyclones, making sustainable policies crucial for protecting marine life and coastal communities.

India’s Relations with Bay of Bengal Countries

  • Bangladesh: India’s closest maritime neighbour, with significant trade and infrastructure ties. Shifts in India’s policies can greatly impact Bangladesh.

    Myanmar: Crucial for regional connectivity and security, particularly with India’s involvement in the Kaladan Multimodal Transit Transport Project.

    Nepal & Bhutan: Depend on India for access to Bay of Bengal ports.

    Sri Lanka: Strategically important, influencing regional shipping routes.

    Southeast Asia: India’s engagement through BIMSTEC (Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation) strengthens ties with Thailand and others in the region.

Key Challenges and Concerns

  1. Geopolitical Competition:

    • China’s presence in the region through deep-water port developments like Kyaukpyu (Myanmar), Hambantota (Sri Lanka), and Chittagong (Bangladesh) is a strategic challenge for India. These ports have potential military and economic implications.

  2. Maritime Security Threats:

    • Increasing concerns over piracy, illegal fishing, arms trafficking, and natural disasters.

    • India struggles with coordinating maritime surveillance and security with neighboring countries due to capacity gaps and political sensitivities.

  3. Inconsistent Trade Policies:

    • India’s withdrawal of transshipment privileges for Bangladesh raised doubts about the predictability and reliability of its trade policies.

  4. Environmental Vulnerabilities:

    • The Bay of Bengal is particularly vulnerable to climate change, including rising sea levels, cyclones, and coastal erosion. The environmental impact must be managed carefully through sustainable practices.

India’s Balancing Act in the Region

Security Architecture:

  • Naval Presence: India’s Eastern Naval Command and Tri-Service Command in the Andaman Islands play a vital role in deterrence and rapid response to regional threats.

    MILAN Naval Exercises: The Indian Navy hosts these multilateral exercises involving countries from Southeast Asia, Africa, and beyond to foster cooperation and security in the Bay.

    IORA (Indian Ocean Rim Association): India promotes cooperative maritime governance, focusing on issues like piracy, illegal fishing, and environmental degradation.

Economic Engagement:

  • Act East Policy: India’s strengthening of ties with Southeast Asian nations through trade agreements and infrastructure projects enhances its strategic presence in the Bay region.

    SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region): This initiative focuses on capacity-building, economic cooperation, and security in the Bay of Bengal.

    Regional Connectivity: India is promoting BIMSTEC and BBIN (Bangladesh-Bhutan-India-Nepal) frameworks for regional trade and energy diplomacy.

    Sagarmala: This initiative is aimed at modernizing ports and improving coastal logistics, which will benefit India’s eastern seaboard.

    Transshipment and Trade Facilitation: India’s investments in port infrastructure help streamline trade flows in the Bay region.

Environmental Diplomacy:

  • India promotes Blue Economy cooperation, which includes initiatives like:

    • Hydrographic surveys and disaster management training.

      Satellite data sharing for monsoon and cyclone predictions.

      Green shipping corridors and renewable energy projects in island nations like the Maldives.

Way Forward

  1. Reinforce Multilateralism:

    • India should promote a stable, rules-based framework for regional cooperation to strengthen its credibility as a benign power.

  2. Transparent Trade Practices:

    • Predictable trade policies, especially with neighbors like Bangladesh and Myanmar, would enhance regional trust and ensure smoother trade flows.

  3. Joint Infrastructure Projects:

    • Co-developing ports, digital corridors, and energy grids with partner countries can reduce dependency on external players like China and turn competition into collaboration.

  4. Disaster-Resilient Development:

    • Joint coastal resilience programs, such as cyclone early warning systems or climate-smart fisheries, can address common environmental challenges and build goodwill across borders.

  5. Security Cooperation Without Overreach:

    • India should continue to promote maritime security through joint exercises and shared protocols, while respecting sovereignty concerns of littoral states.

Conclusion

India’s ambitions in the Bay of Bengal face significant challenges, but its geopolitical, economic, and security engagements provide a solid foundation for strengthening its leadership in the region. By adopting collaborative approaches and reinforcing regional partnerships, India can enhance its influence and ensure a stable, prosperous maritime environment.


 

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